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 | Acceso al texto completo restringido a Biblioteca INIA Treinta y Tres. Por información adicional contacte bibliott@inia.org.uy. |
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Registro completo
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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Treinta y Tres. |
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Fecha : |
28/03/2016 |
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Actualizado : |
24/09/2018 |
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Tipo de producción científica : |
Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales |
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Autor : |
BASSU, S.; BRISSON, N.; DURAND, J.L.; BOOTE, K.; LIZASO, J.; JONES, J.W.; ROSENZWEIG, C.; RUANE, A.C.; ADAM, M.; BARON, C.; BASSO, B.; BIERNATH, C.; BOOGAARD, H.; CONIJN, S.; CORBEELS, M.L; DERYNG, D.; SANTIS, G. DE; GAYLER, S.; GRASSINI, P.; HATFIELD, J.; HOEK, S.; IZAURRALDE, C.; JONGSCHAAP, R.; KEMANIAN, A.R.; KERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.; KUMAR, N.; MAKOWSKI, D.; MÜLLER, C.; NENDEL, C.; PRIESACK, E.; PRAVIA, V.; SAU, F.; SHCHERBAK, I.; TAO, F.; TEXEIRA, E.; TIMLIN, D.; WAHA, K. |
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Afiliación : |
MARIA VIRGINIA PRAVIA NIN, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; Department of Plant Science, The Pennsylvania State University, USA. |
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Título : |
How do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors? |
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Fecha de publicación : |
2014 |
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Fuente / Imprenta : |
Global Change Biology, 2014, v.20(7), p. 2301-2320. |
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DOI : |
10.1111/gcb.12520 |
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Idioma : |
Inglés |
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Notas : |
Article history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014. |
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Contenido : |
Abstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information. MenosAbstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2]... Presentar Todo |
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Palabras claves : |
AGMIP; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE; CO2; GRAIN YIELD; MAIZE; MODEL INTERCOMPARISON; MODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS; SIMULATION MODELS; TEMPERATURE. |
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Thesagro : |
CLIMA; DIOXIDO DE CARBONO; INCERTIDUMBRE; MAÍZ; MODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN; TEMPERATURA. |
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Asunto categoría : |
U10 Métodos matemáticos y estadísticos |
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Marc : |
LEADER 03684naa a2200769 a 4500
001 1054517
005 2018-09-24
008 2014 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $a10.1111/gcb.12520$2DOI
100 1 $aBASSU, S.
245 $aHow do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors?$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2014
500 $aArticle history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014.
520 $aAbstract: Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania). While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information.
650 $aCLIMA
650 $aDIOXIDO DE CARBONO
650 $aINCERTIDUMBRE
650 $aMAÍZ
650 $aMODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN
650 $aTEMPERATURA
653 $aAGMIP
653 $aCARBON DIOXIDE
653 $aCLIMATE
653 $aCO2
653 $aGRAIN YIELD
653 $aMAIZE
653 $aMODEL INTERCOMPARISON
653 $aMODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS
653 $aSIMULATION MODELS
653 $aTEMPERATURE
700 1 $aBRISSON, N.
700 1 $aDURAND, J.L.
700 1 $aBOOTE, K.
700 1 $aLIZASO, J.
700 1 $aJONES, J.W.
700 1 $aROSENZWEIG, C.
700 1 $aRUANE, A.C.
700 1 $aADAM, M.
700 1 $aBARON, C.
700 1 $aBASSO, B.
700 1 $aBIERNATH, C.
700 1 $aBOOGAARD, H.
700 1 $aCONIJN, S.
700 1 $aCORBEELS, M.L
700 1 $aDERYNG, D.
700 1 $aSANTIS, G. DE
700 1 $aGAYLER, S.
700 1 $aGRASSINI, P.
700 1 $aHATFIELD, J.
700 1 $aHOEK, S.
700 1 $aIZAURRALDE, C.
700 1 $aJONGSCHAAP, R.
700 1 $aKEMANIAN, A.R.
700 1 $aKERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.
700 1 $aKUMAR, N.
700 1 $aMAKOWSKI, D.
700 1 $aMÜLLER, C.
700 1 $aNENDEL, C.
700 1 $aPRIESACK, E.
700 1 $aPRAVIA, V.
700 1 $aSAU, F.
700 1 $aSHCHERBAK, I.
700 1 $aTAO, F.
700 1 $aTEXEIRA, E.
700 1 $aTIMLIN, D.
700 1 $aWAHA, K.
773 $tGlobal Change Biology, 2014$gv.20(7), p. 2301-2320.
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| 3. |  | KELLY, L.; DUTRA, F.; LLAMBÍ, S.; RIVERO, R.; MORAES, J.; TRENCHI, G.; D'AGOSTO, S.; PERAZA, P.; RAVAGNOLO, O.; DALLA RIZZA, M. Diagnóstico de enfermedades hereditarias bovinas en el Uruguay mediante técnicas moleculares. [Molecular diagnosis of cattle hereditary diseases in Uruguay.]. Sección: Artículos originales. Veterinaria (Montevideo), 2012, v.48, no.188, p. 3-11. --- OPEN ACCESS. Article history: Recibido 4 Mayo 2012, Aprobado 13 Agosto 2012, Publicado 1 Diciembre 2012. -- Autor para correspondencia: gokellyster@gmail.com -- Publicación de la Sociedad de Medicina Veterinaria del Uruguay (SMVU).| Tipo: Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Nacionales | Circulación / Nivel : B - 5 |
| Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas. |
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| 4. | | KELLY, L.; NICOLINI, M.P.; BRANDA, A.; PEDEMONTE, A.; SOLARES, E.; CAPDEVIELLE, F.; PIESTUN, D. Biotecnología animal: aplicaciones prácticas del análisis de ADN Revista INIA, 2007, no. 13, p. 6-10| Tipo: Artículos en Revistas Agropecuarias |
| Biblioteca(s): INIA La Estanzuela; INIA Las Brujas; INIA Tacuarembó. |
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| 5. | | NAVAJAS, E.; PERAZA, P.; RAVAGNOLO, O.; CIAPPESONI, G.; AGUILAR, I.; KELLY, L.; BRANDA, A.; DALLA RIZZA, M.; MONTOSSI, F. Banco de ADN genómico animal: pilar de una plataforma en selección genómica. Revista INIA Uruguay, 2012, no. 28, p. 20-24 (Revista INIA; 28)| Tipo: Artículos en Revistas Agropecuarias |
| Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas. |
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| 6. | | NICOLINI, M.P.; KELLY, L.; CIAPPESONI, G.; DE BARBIERI, I.; MEDEROS, A.; RODRIGUEZ, A.; MONTOSSI, F. Biotecnología en el control de parásitos gastrointestinales en ovinos. ln: INIA Tacuarembó. Estación Experimental Glencoe. Proyecto Merino Fino del Uruguay: octava distribución de carneros generados en el núcleo fundacional de Merino fino de la Unidad Experimental Glencoe, 1999-2007, Paysandú, 13 de diciembre, 2006. Tacuarembó (Uruguay): INIA, 2007. p. 48-49 (INIA Serie Actividades de Difusión ; 523)| Biblioteca(s): INIA Tacuarembó. |
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| 7. | | RAMÍREZ, O.; OJEDA, A.; TOMÀS, A.; GALLARDO, D.; HUANG, L.S.; FOLCH, J.M.; CLOP, A.; SÁNCHEZ, A.; BADAOUI, B.; HANOTTE, O.; GALMAN-OMITOGUN, O.; MAKUZA, S.M.; SOTO, H.; CADILLO, J.; KELLY, L.; CHO, I.C.; YEGHOYAN, S.; PÉREZ-ENCISO, M.; AMILLS, M. Integrating Y-chromosome, mitochondrial, and autosomal data to analyze the origin of pig breeds. Molecular Biology and Evolution, September 2009, Volume 26, Issue 9, Pages 2061-2072. OPEN ACCESS. Article history: Accepted June 1, 2009 / Advance Access publication June 17, 2009.| Tipo: Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales | Circulación / Nivel : A - 1 |
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